Foreign investment at the top end of New Zealand’s commercial property market has ramped up significantly in the last year, a new analysis has found
Colliers International’s Capital Markets team has analysed the last three years of commercial property transactions in New Zealand with a value of $50 million and over.
The results show domestic investment declined in value by 77% between 2015 and 2017, from $1.75 billion to $400 million.
Richard Kirke, International Sales Director at Colliers International, says there were 18 commercial property sales over $50 million in New Zealand last year.
“Of those sales, only five were to domestic parties, accounting for 27.8% of the transactions by volume.
“However, domestic sales accounted for only 22.5% of the transactions by value – so the vast majority of investment last year came from foreign capital.”
Kirke says 35.1% of investment last year was from Asia, followed by 31.0% from global funds and 11.4% from Australia.
By comparison, domestic investment dominated in 2015, accounting for 64.4% of the total transaction value, followed by 21.4% from global funds and 14.3% from Asia.
Kirke says the wave of offshore capital shows no sign of abating in 2018.
“Foreign investors are continuing to seek prime New Zealand assets,” he says.
“The biggest issue now is a lack of available stock, as owners hold onto their assets to take advantage of record low yields.”
Kirke says there is room for even further yield compression due to sustained foreign investor interest.
“For the last two or three years – not just here, but internationally – people have been saying ‘this is the year that it turns’.
“I don’t think this is the year that we’ll see yields start to go out. I think actually there is a greater likelihood that we’ll see yield compression.”
Kirke says liquidity in the commercial property market has improved due to the amount of international capital now invested in New Zealand.
“That’s always been a big concern for offshore investors, and I think they feel comfort now that they’re not just selling to a domestic market should they want to exit.”
Investors are predominantly looking for assets in Auckland, but prime properties with solid fundamentals in other centres are still appealing.
Only two of the 18 transactions over $50 million last year involved properties outside of Auckland – the Tate Technology Campus in Christchurch, and HSBC House on Lambton Quay, Wellington.